Download surface and aircraft emission files
Olaf Morgenstern, 18 August 2008
Please click on the following links to download emission ancillaries
for surface and aircraft emissions.
Surface
emissions of NOx, CO, HCHO
Aircraft
emissions of NOx
Procedure by which the files have been produced (IIASA scenario data
for the B2 scenario are appended):
1. Starting point: Year 2000 RETRO emissions (courtesy of Andreas
Baumgaertner, MPI-Ch) of NOx, CO, HCHO.
2. For surface NOx: (a) decompose surface emission into land and sea
based emissions, by multiplying by land fraction, for land emissions,
and by (1 - land fraction), for sea surface emissions. (b) apply global
growth factors for land surface (= energy-related, land-based +
non-energy related NOx) to produce land surface emissions of NOx
throughout 21st century. (c) apply global growth factors for sea
surface (= energy-related, ships) to produce sea-based emissions. (d)
Sum the two to get global surface emissions for NOx.
For surface CO: ÿShips and aircraft contribute almost nothing to the
total. Implementing the growth of CO over sea versus the decline over
land would run into problems because of large emissions from coastal
regions. So only the global total calculated, growth rates are derived,
and applied to the 2000 emission field of CO.
For surface HCHO: ÿThe total VOC emissions for the B2 scenario,
downloaded from IIASA
GGI Scenario database, is taken. Growth rates are calculated and
applied to the 2000 RETRO emissions of HCHO.
3. Aircraft NOx. Growth rates from the IIASA scenario are applied to
the 2000 aircraft emissions.
Global totals of NOx. Co, HCHO. Courtesy of Peter Rafaj, IIASA.
B2 NOX (MtNOx)
TOTALÿÿ Energy relatedÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ Non-energy
ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ land basedÿÿÿÿÿ Shipsÿÿ Aircraft
2000ÿÿÿ 69.9ÿÿÿ 21.4ÿÿÿ 2.3ÿÿÿÿ 24.4
2010ÿÿÿ 68.4ÿÿÿ 22.9ÿÿÿ 2.8ÿÿÿÿ 25.1
2020ÿÿÿ 74.5ÿÿÿ 23.2ÿÿÿ 3.3ÿÿÿÿ 26.9
2030ÿÿÿ 72.5ÿÿÿ 23.8ÿÿÿ 3.8ÿÿÿÿ 27.0
2040ÿÿÿ 62.9ÿÿÿ 24.0ÿÿÿ 4.4ÿÿÿÿ 27.3
2050ÿÿÿ 47.1ÿÿÿ 23.9ÿÿÿ 5.0ÿÿÿÿ 27.4
2060ÿÿÿ 34.1ÿÿÿ 24.5ÿÿÿ 5.6ÿÿÿÿ 27.0
2070ÿÿÿ 28.6ÿÿÿ 25.1ÿÿÿ 5.7ÿÿÿÿ 26.8
2080ÿÿÿ 26.4ÿÿÿ 25.5ÿÿÿ 5.8ÿÿÿÿ 26.7
2090ÿÿÿ 25.3ÿÿÿ 26.0ÿÿÿ 5.9ÿÿÿÿ 26.4
2100ÿÿÿ 23.7ÿÿÿ 26.4ÿÿÿ 5.9ÿÿÿÿ 26.5
B2 CO (MtCO)
TOTALÿÿ Energy relatedÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ Non-energy
ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ land basedÿÿÿÿÿ Shipsÿÿ Aircraft
2000ÿÿÿ 539.1ÿÿ 1.3ÿÿÿÿ 1.8ÿÿÿÿ 475.0
2010ÿÿÿ 461.5ÿÿ 1.6ÿÿÿÿ 2.1ÿÿÿÿ 468.2
2020ÿÿÿ 447.3ÿÿ 1.8ÿÿÿÿ 2.5ÿÿÿÿ 460.9
2030ÿÿÿ 442.1ÿÿ 1.9ÿÿÿÿ 2.9ÿÿÿÿ 440.2
2040ÿÿÿ 437.0ÿÿ 2.0ÿÿÿÿ 3.4ÿÿÿÿ 428.7
2050ÿÿÿ 429.7ÿÿ 2.1ÿÿÿÿ 3.8ÿÿÿÿ 419.7
2060ÿÿÿ 406.0ÿÿ 2.1ÿÿÿÿ 4.3ÿÿÿÿ 417.1
2070ÿÿÿ 344.8ÿÿ 2.2ÿÿÿÿ 4.3ÿÿÿÿ 415.7
2080ÿÿÿ 301.5ÿÿ 2.3ÿÿÿÿ 4.4ÿÿÿÿ 414.2
2090ÿÿÿ 272.5ÿÿ 2.3ÿÿÿÿ 4.5ÿÿÿÿ 412.1
2100ÿÿÿ 252.2ÿÿ 2.3ÿÿÿÿ 4.5ÿÿÿÿ 410.1
Emission scenarios for VOC, from IIASA (14/8/2008)
Regionÿ Scenarioÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ Variableÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ Unitÿÿÿ 1990ÿÿÿ 2000ÿÿÿ 2010ÿÿÿ
2020
2030ÿÿÿ 2040ÿÿÿ 2050ÿÿÿ 2060ÿÿÿ 2070ÿÿÿ 2080ÿÿÿ 2090ÿÿÿ 2100ÿÿÿ Notes
Worldÿÿ A2r - Baselineÿ VOC Emissions - totalÿÿ Mtonÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ 183.28ÿ
206.41
249.82ÿ 296.18ÿ 341.82ÿ 380.84ÿ 414.99ÿ 435.29ÿ 445.17ÿ 449.31ÿ 452.79ÿ
"1) Data for this variable is available on the four region level (OECD,
REF, ASIA, ALM)"
Worldÿÿ B1 - Baselineÿÿ VOC Emissions - totalÿÿ Mtonÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ 183.28ÿ
202.96
232.51ÿ 241.34ÿ 252.43ÿ 248.88ÿ 227.02ÿ 204.90ÿ 179.50ÿ 154.55ÿ 138.47ÿ
"1) Data for this variable is available on the four region level (OECD,
REF, ASIA, ALM)"
Worldÿÿ B2 - Baselineÿÿ VOC Emissions - totalÿÿ Mtonÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ 183.28ÿ
208.83
253.84ÿ 278.30ÿ 295.87ÿ 303.09ÿ 306.05ÿ 303.25ÿ 304.29ÿ 301.42ÿ 305.78ÿ
"1) Data for this variable is available on the four region level (OECD,
REF, ASIA, ALM)"
" ? IIASA GGI Scenario Database (Version 1.0.9)
ÿhttp://www.iiasa.ac.at/Research/GGI/DB/
ÿgenerated: 2008-08-08 12:17:56
ÿ
ÿThe suggested citation for the data is:
ÿInternational Institute for Applied System Analysis (IIASA)
ÿGGI Scenario Database, 2008
ÿAvailable at: http://www.iiasa.ac.at/Research/GGI/DB/
ÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿÿ
See also the special issue on the GGI scenarios, forthcoming
inTechnological Forecasting and Social Change (Vol. 74/8-9,
October/November 2007)."